Our Home Record Laid Bare

With a season in the Championship beginning in just over five weeks, many Villa fans are now beginning to come to terms with and even look forwards to the upcoming season. And with good reason. The last five years in the Premier League have, by and large, been a struggle. Personally, I am glad of the change, as watching Villa had become a challenge of endurance rather than the pleasure that it once was.

In particular, the opportunity for those attending Villa Park on a regular basis must be absolutely drooling at the prospect of seeing some positive results for a change. Laid bare, the home record over the last five years makes absolutely shocking reading. 

Since the 2011/2012 season, Villa haven’t managed to win more than six games at Villa Park in one season. Considering we play nineteen games at home, this is abysmally poor. In fact, Last season reached unacceptable status, with just two wins at home all season. With fifty seven points up for grabs each campaign, we haven’t managed to gather more than twenty one in any one season. Last season we accumulated just eleven.

Extrapolated over those five seasons, we have played a total of ninety five league games. We have won a grand total of twenty two games at Villa Park. It’s actually astounding to have won so few games. We have lost forty seven of those, which equates to just under half at 49.5%.

 

And when it comes to goal scoring, the fans have also been let down badly. Just fourteen at home all last season. It’s pitiful. We haven’t mustered more than twenty three during this last five year period. In fact, during those ninety five league games, we average just a tad over a goal a game with ninety seven scored in total. Hardly value for money through those lean winter months.  

 

The full record can be seen below. It is not a pretty sight...

 

 

Many reasons and theories have been put forward as to why we have been so bad at home over this period. From the young kids feeling under pressure in front of expectant supporters, right to the notion that supporters have created a poisonous atmosphere. In truth, the reason is that we have been a very pitiable team for the last five years. The bottom line is that the players haven’t been good enough. The management hasn’t been good enough and right to the very top of the club, things have never been right in the boardroom. Investment has been minimal, decisions have been poor and the wrong people have been winging it for far too long. 

Playing for Aston Villa, and at Villa Park, should be a privilege. With the takeover now complete, there is hope that the mistakes of the last five years can be eradicated and some good times can return to our wonderful club. We may be in the Championship, but at least that gives us the opportunity to send supporters home happy on a Saturday evening on a much more regular basis.

Why Villa Must Snap Up Moyes And Avoid Pearson

Remi Garde is clinging to the Aston Villa managerial position right now. Despite many reports saying he would be gone at the beginning of this week, we have gotten to Thursday with still no word on what is going on. It seems inevitable that an agreement between Villa and Garde will be reached sooner rather than later to terminate his contract and during the past week speculation has only intensified as to who the next man in the Villa Park hotseat will be.

The front runner appeared to be Nigel Pearson. As short as 1/4 with the bookies at the start of the week, the ex-Leicester manager bizarrely appeared to have a large section of the Villa faithful behind his seemingly impending appointment.

Incredibly, Steve Bruce somehow made his way into second favourite position with the camel coats, however thankfully, seemingly had zero popularity with the fans.

I understand the idea behind Pearson and Bruce; people are looking at managers who have taken teams up from the tough Championship division. However, this surely cannot be the only pre-requisite for managing such an illustrious club as Aston Villa.

Bruce has limited success in a managerial career now in its 18th year. Finishing as runner up in the Championship with both Birmingham City and Hull City, and also gaining promotion again with Blues via the playoffs is about it. You can throw in an F.A Cup runner up medal if you like, but Tim Sherwood had one of those also. Bad football and mediocrity is the norm and several relegation's are part of his CV also. Surely best avoided and completely uninspiring.

Pearson is the one which really troubles me however. Despite having promising signs as a manager, gaining both League One and Championship promotions with Leicester City, and guiding them to a great escape from relegation last season, the fact remains that this wouldn't necessarily translate over to Aston Villa. There seems to be a train of thought which everyone appears to be boarding, and that is that we should bring him in to save us as he did Leicester. If this applies to you, please realise that Leicester's escape was a freak occurrence in football. Pearson would not replicate this in our situation and also we are far worse off than Leicester ever were - despite similar positions, they were never as cut adrift and the table was much more congested and gains out of the bottom three could be made more easily. As for leading us back with immediate promotion, yes, he is a candidate based on this. However, there are far more pressing concerns which cannot be overlooked with this man. Namely, he is a lunatic. And there are examples aplenty to back it up

How about getting into a confrontation with a supporter and telling them to 'fuck off and die' and then refusing to apologise for it later on?

Or maybe the touchline incident with James McArthur after an accidental collision, in which he pinned the player down and then refused to let go of his shirt as McArthur tried to return to the playing field. When asked about it, a grinning Pearson simply exclaimed 'I can look after myself, don't you worry about that'.

Several prickly press conferences provide an insight into the nature of the man; labelling one reporter a 'prick' for asking a perfectly reasonable question about Leicester's position in the table. And to top it all off, the infamous 'Ostrich' press conference it which Pearson unmercifully berated a younger reporter.

This is not a man in control of his emotions. Can you imagine if he came under the pressure that Villa supporters have (rightly) been putting on the club this season. He would likely explode.

The very good news is that Pearson is no longer favourite. Step forward David Moyes.

When Sherwood was dismissed, I was not keen on Moyes. His reputation at Everton was solid yet relatively unspectacular and many Toffees had wanted him out for two or three years. A failing at Manchester United can be somewhat mitigated and it was an unenviable task on his hand to take over from the successful Ferguson era and the transition would've seen any manager in the world struggle at that time with the players at his disposal especially. Yet further failings at Real Sociedad, which eventually culminated in his sacking have seen his stock fall from it's once fairly lofty heights.

However, he is by far our best option at this point. Despite a lack of managerial honours, he has worked in the lower leagues successfully, albeit a long time ago now, with Preston North End. But he has achieved enough with his continuous galvinisation of Everton over many years, and the fact that he was even in a position to land the United job, to command a certain amount of respect that I don't believe other candidates have, or even Remi Garde has mustered. He is steely enough to not be overrun by our mutinous dressing room and he represents less of a gamble than other options available to us.

The rumours are that he would be prepared to drop down into the Championship with us. If this is true, it gives us some credibility and optimism back also - we are still a big draw. If the decision to sack Garde is already made, we should bite Moyes' hand off to get him in as soon as possible. Celtic are reportedly also sniffing around and we can't afford anyone else to turn his head at this moment in time.

It may just end up being a perfect match; a once lauded manager and a once great club, both damaged and in need of each other to get back to where they want to be.

Hopefully the incisive action shown by chairman Steve Hollis so far continues and Moyes is appointed without any further delays.

If We Think Randy Is Bad, We Have No Idea Of What Could Be Around The Corner

After Villa’s abject performance in the 2-0 defeat at Norwich on Monday, Villa supporters took to Twitter in force to lament the current regime. It was clear where the frustrations lay; our current custodian, Randolph Lerner.

Remarkably, the players, and to an even lesser extent the manager, escaped the brunt of the wrath. Indeed, it was the tag #RelegateRandy that began to trend in force throughout the evening.

I myself, in jest, said that I blamed Doug Ellis for not foreseeing this when he sold the club many years ago now. Although, this was a joke, it did begin to make me think. And worry.

Back in 2006, the vast majority of Villa fans were sick to death of the Ellis regime. We felt restricted by penny pinching and with not being able to compete with the big boys. We felt we were being cut adrift. We felt that with a new rich, ambitious owner, we could be in a position to challenge and become great again. We felt that we were always just coming up short and with just a bit more of a push we’d be right up there.

It seemed that the clamour to be rid of Ellis had lasted for years and years. He was never really a popular figure amongst fans. It was felt there was a bitterness within Ellis that he was not in power for our glorious triumphs in the early 1980’s. Having been expelled from the board in 1979, he returned as Chairman in 1982, with the club as European champions. Within 5 years, we would be relegated. Whether this is down to Ellis is largely debateable; the argument is that the previous regime had landed the club with huge debts. The dismantling of our European squad was necessary to balance the books. Unfortunately, either way, it ultimately led to our last stint in what was the old 2^nd Division and Ellis was certainly held responsible.

Upon returning to the 1^st Division, we spent the next 7 seasons bizarrely yo-yoing between mounting title challenges and being relegation candidates (think Leicester City style circa 2015-16 but over several years). The following 7 seasons saw our most stable period where we finished each season between 4^th and 8^th.  Villa fans frustrations with Ellis grew throughout the 1990’s, perhaps somewhat fuelled by popular managers such as Ron Atkinson and John Gregory famously falling out with their chairman. In Gregory’s case especially, the feeling was that we were perhaps just one or two players short from being genuine title contenders and the frustration of not being allowed to break the bank to land his targets became too much. Which sounds like a familiar story regarding a certain Martin O’Neill, showing that this isn’t a problem experienced just in the Ellis era.

Ellis had spent money however. Outlays of £5.5 million for Steve Stone, £5.25 million for Dion Dublin, and the record signings of £7 million for Stan Collymore and £9.5 million on Juan Pablo Angel were certainly not to be sniffed at. Add a £6.75 million for Paul Merson here and a £6 million for Bosko Balaban there and it adds up and actually portrays an image of a supportive chairman.

The problem was always that everyone around the club felt as if just pushing onwards and perhaps speculating to accumulate could have bought us some real glory. Ellis’ meticulous nature with the pennies would never allow us this springboard, and rather than being content with what we had (and what we’d kill for now), we wanted more ambition to drive us forward. Whether this is right or wrong given the present circumstances we find ourselves in, I genuinely can’t decide; standing still doesn’t seem the right approach, but our wishes to have investment have left us in a terrible situation.

Ellis’s relationship grew even more weary with the club in his last few years as chairman and finishing positions deteriorated with an unlikely 6^th placed finish sandwiched between a couple of 16^th’s and a 10^th - the fans had enough. Apparently so had the players, as well as yet another manager in David O’Leary; a mutinous statement supposedly from the players, but also rumoured to involve O’Leary, criticised Ellis’ thrifty running of the club. Rumours of cutbacks to the extent of refusal to employ a masseur and even penny pinching right down to a refusal to reimburse a cup of coffee were emerging and it was making a mockery of the club.

Underneath it all however, was a love of Aston Villa, the club. Whilst a cynic may oppose this and say it was more a love of making money and having something he could control, I believe that Ellis just would not tolerate putting the club into debt for its own good. An old school view to take perhaps, we were operational within our own means and unfortunately that meant we could only compete so far.

However, when Ellis finally was ready relinquish control of the club, it was a drawn out process in finding a buyer who he deemed to be suitable and wouldn’t just be using Villa for their own gains. I believe he genuinely cared about who would be coming in and taking over Aston Villa.

And my worry is that Randy Lerner may not have that same level of commitment to Aston Villa. We know he is desperate to get out and he simply is not in a position to be picky about the next owner. I do not see a possibility of a takeover bid being rejected should Lerner feel that the next incumbent is unsuitable.

Ellis did his best in finding us a new owner who had money and a vision for the club. An owner who would protect the values of Aston Villa football club. The fact that Lerner had professed an affiliation to Villa during his time in England as a student was a plus point. Lerner had obviously further outlined his intentions to Ellis and passed the test. A fiercely stubborn man, Ellis would not have been pushed into selling the club on anyone’s terms other than his own.

And to his credit, Lerner has done some amazing things for this club which we should not forget about. Those first few years under Martin O’Neill were exciting times. Lerner did bankroll our push for Champions League football and we could boast exciting talent such as Ashley Young, Stewart Downing and James Milner. However, far too much of the money was actually frittered on average, even poor, players; £8.5 million on Nigel Reo Coker, £10 million on Curtis Davies, £5 million on Nicky Shorey etc... Perhaps a bigger problem than this however was the incredible wages being offered on top of these transfer fees which was the true downfall in our demise. Nevertheless, the willingness to spend WAS there. If only the structure was in place to have invested it in a more controlled and thought out manner.

For me, those early years saw a raise in Villa’s profile as a club off the field just as much as on it, and that is down to Lerner. The charitable gesture to forego a sponsorship deal and let the Birmingham children’s hospice Acorns adorn our shirts was extremely noble and bought us much goodwill from the football community. The renovation of the Holte Hotel was popular with fans and showed us that we actually had an owner who cared about the club and its traditions. A long overdue recognition for the heroes from our early 1980’s glories who had been shunned for so long was now forthcoming and celebrated with a ‘Legends Day’ where greats such as Peter Withe and Dennis Mortimer were paraded around Villa Park before kick off and an nice extra touch with the text of the commentary leading up to Withe’s all important goal against Bayern Munich now sits adorned as a banner on the North Stand. Not to be forgotten amongst these charitable and history-embracing gestures was a much needed investment in Bodymoor Heath which had been long overdue and dithered over was instantly upgraded and transformed into what in recognised as perhaps the finest training facilities in the country.

Once the going got tough however, the excitement for Lerner ceased and the gestures have all but stopped. What remains is an owner desperate to salvage something from the wreckage of the good ship Aston Villa. With endless unfit owners flooding English football over the last 10 years or so, our club could be in real trouble with any future proprietors. The current regime may be a disaster right now, and the last few years have seen us drift aimlessly towards our current situation. But I fear we could be the target of owners as ridiculous as Massimo Cellino, Mike Ashley, The Glazer’s, Vincent Tan, Karl Oyston, Craig Whyte, Peter Risdale, Alexandre Gaydamak, Hicks & Gillett, The Venky’s - the vast majority of these people coming into football do not know what they are doing and see only the money they can make.

Our next owners need to be football people first and foremost. They need to know how to run a club or at least have success in running a huge sporting institution. For all Lerner’s good intentions, he has ultimately failed for not knowing this business sector and hasn’t surrounded himself with those of a football background who could’ve helped and advised better. We’ve had military generals, corporate marketing men and banking officials steering us wildly. But can we really expect a man who is disinterested, without motivation and, crucially, desperate to reclaim anything he can, to put us in those safe hands going forwards? Those sort of people do not come along very often and the likelihood is that another American business group or Chinese consortium will be our next owners.

And perhaps bottom of Randy’s checklist will be to make sure they have the best interests of Aston Villa at heart.

 Any thoughts or comments? Please let me know here or @lovespud83! Thanks for reading!